## 'data.frame':    269 obs. of  5 variables:
##  $ country  : chr  "US" "US" "US" "US" ...
##  $ date     : Date, format: "2020-10-16" "2020-10-15" ...
##  $ confirmed: num  8048865 7979709 7916099 7856605 7804199 ...
##  $ deaths   : num  218575 217692 216872 215887 215085 ...
##  $ recovered: num  3197539 3177397 3155794 3124593 3106728 ...

Plots of Cumulative Cases and Deaths

Source: New York Times

GGPLOt2 Plots of Daily Deaths and Cases

Source: European CDPC

Average US Covid-19 Deaths/day

## [1] 942.2371

Washington University

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

  • "Daily deaths is the best indicator of the progression of the pandemic, although there is generally a 17-21 day lag between infection and deaths.

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 363,269 by Jan. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 2, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 363,269 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 9, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 394,693 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 10, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 389,087 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 15,2020)

US COVID-19 Deaths Guesstimate as of Oct. 17, 2020

  • Oct. 17, 2020 Fixed math error for average US Deaths per day
  • Dec. 15, 2020 WU IHME Model.
  • Nov 1, 2020 = 233,706
  • Dec. 1, 2020 =261,895
  • Jan. 1, 2021 = 291151
## [1] 1878.831
## [1] 291151.3
## [1] 1339.537
## [1] 320360.6
## [1] 1578.593
## [1] 320360.6

US COVID19 Projected Deaths

### US COVID19 Projected Deaths:Loess/Lowess Smoothed